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Madrid V Barca

For me, Madrid is waay ahead of the leage when it comes to playing football. Barca is well-managed, has phenomenal players, but Madrid has art and Brazillians, and Mbappe, and Bellingham. So, who's gonna win. Let's see!

When we analyze the past-performances, on a Head-to-head basis, Madrid has has won more super cups V Barca. Running some calculations

Real Madrid V FC Barcelona Super Cup Head2Head Final Stats

Year	Stats	Winners
1988	Real Madrid 3–2	Real Madrid
1990	Real Madrid 5–1	Real Madrid
1993	Real Madrid 4–2	Real Madrid
1997	Real Madrid 5–3	Real Madrid
2011	Barcelona 5–4	Barcelona
2012	4–4 (away goals)	Real Madrid
2017	Real Madrid 5–1	Real Madrid
2023	Barcelona 3–1 Real Madrid	Barcelona
2024	Real Madrid 4–1 Barcelona	Real Madrid

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Overall Stats (Head-to-Head in Super Cup Finals)

• Total finals between them: 9
• Real Madrid wins: 7
• Barcelona wins: 2

Goals Scored in These Finals

• Real Madrid: 35 goals
• Barcelona: 22 goals

Breakdown by Year (Goals Scored)

1. 1988
   • Real Madrid: 3 goals total
   • Barcelona: 2 goals total
2. 1990
   • Real Madrid: 5
   • Barcelona: 1
3. 1993
   • Real Madrid: 4
   • Barcelona: 2
4. 1997
   • Real Madrid: 5
   • Barcelona: 3
5. 2011
   • Real Madrid: 4
   • Barcelona: 5
6. 2012
   • Real Madrid: 4
   • Barcelona: 4
   • (Real Madrid won on away goals)
7. 2017
   • Real Madrid: 5
   • Barcelona: 1
8. 2023
   • Real Madrid: 1
   • Barcelona: 3
   • (Single match)
9. 2024
   • Real Madrid: 4
   • Barcelona: 1
   • (Single match)

Summing them up:

• Real Madrid total: 3 + 5 + 4 + 5 + 4 + 4 + 5 + 1 + 4 = 35
• Barcelona total: 2 + 1 + 2 + 3 + 5 + 4 + 1 + 3 + 1 = 22

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What are some stats we could generate from here?

Goals on Average: 4 or more goals. Staying on the safe side, which, by the way, doesn't really exist, 3 goals or more.

Shots on Taarget: I looked at Fotmob and there's been at least 10 shots on target in the game. Once again, safety doesn't exist here. Exception being 8 SOT on the 2016-2017 super cup final where only 8 SOT were shot.

Corners: Corners have ranged from 5-15. How can we really decide on this? In the game with only 5 corners, Barca has won, the game having 12 SOTs.

Goal Scorers: Needless to say, we can see a Vinivcious dominance, him having prominently scored. Gavi does good too. Now Mbappe is a new hire this season and he goes against Lewandowski in the striker position. Valverde has scored as well and so has Bellingham.

My bets would go for Vini to score a goal anytime. And given Yamal's performance in international games, he's likely to have a goal as well. So maybe Vini, Yamal, Mbappe for goals. Valverde for 2 shots. Rodrygo for 2 shots. Bellingham for 2 shots. Gavi, Raphina, for 2 shots. I give Vini and Yamal for goals. Lewandowski for goals. Mbappe for goals. Valverde for 2 shots. Bellingham SOT. Gavi SOT. Raphanina SOT. Rodrygo SOT. >8 SOT. Madrid Keeper 3 saves. Barca Keeper 3 saves.

Now it would seem we are risking for a majority of goals being scored. That has indeed been the case in the games. When there are 4 goals being scored, what else can we really expect?

Madrid V Bara Spanish Super Cup 2025 Predictions

We make 2 bets here: One Madrid Centric, One Barca Centric. Madrid Centric: To lif cup: Madrid Goalscorers: Vini, Mbappe, Lewandowski SOT: Bellingham , Rodrygo, Yamal, Gavi, Raphaina 2 SHOTS: Valverde Keeper Saves: Madrid 2, Barca 3 Total SOT: 8 or more. Not really needed if you're putting the goalscorers

That's a +49,000 odd, meaning 490X your money See how ridiculous gamblign is?

Barca Centric:

Goalscorers: Yamal, Lewandowski, Vini SOT: MBAPPE, Bellingham, Rodrygo, Raphaina Keeper Saves: Barca 2, Madrid 3 Total SOT: 8 or more. Don't need it if putting the goalscorers.

That's a +20572 odd. A 200X your money. Once again, gambling odds are ridiculous. But so are the propositions.

Now that we're able to see that odds are super crazy, we reducto. We eliminate what we think might not happen. For example, in a Madrid centric game, I'd rather not bet on a Barca player and the same goes on the other side. However, this is the finals, so we can't be one-sided.

In this situation I would rather refer to the game in which I won by putting a crazy bet like this. The bet gives me an insight to rather bet on SOT rather than goals. One goal can fuck up the system and honestly, how do you really know who's gonna hit a SOT? So let's refine.

We make 2 bets here: One Madrid Centric, One Barca Centric. This is refined. Madrid Centric: To lif cup: Madrid Goalscorers: Vini, Mbappe SOT: Bellingham , Raphaina, Lewandowski 2Shots: Yamal, Valverde, Rodrygo Goals: Over 2.5 Keeper Saves: Madrid 2, Barca 3 Total SOT: 8 or more. Not really needed if you're putting the goalscorers

That's a +11334 odd, meaning 111X your money Still ridiculous, right? However, now we're focusing our attention on one guy hitting a goal and the other blokes hitting on the shots. I still think we have possibility of Mbappe hitting as well. Might as well.

Barca Centric:

Goalscorers: Lewandowski, SOT: Raphaina, Yamal, MBAPPE, Vini Keeper Saves: Barca 2, Madrid 3 2Shots: Gavi, Valverde 1Shot: Camavinga

That's a +12374 odd. A 123X your money. Once again, gambling odds are ridiculous. But so are the propositions.

2 minutes remain for the game. The final bets are the ones that are refined. Let's see wha thappens. Good luck to all.